Renowned cryptocurrency analyst PlanB, known for his Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, has made a bold prediction about Bitcoin ($BTC). He says that Bitcoin will not drop below $100,000 again. This statement comes amid a period of significant volatility and growth for the leading cryptocurrency, which recently soared past $126,000. This rally was fueled by institutional investments and economic uncertainty tied to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown.
63% of people think bitcoin will drop below $100k.
I would not be surprised if bitcoin will NOT drop below $100k again, as we see $100k resistance turn into $100k support, as Sept close was the 5th monthly close in a row above $100k. Same happened with $10k, $1k, $100 and $10. pic.twitter.com/S69cFEOm3V
— PlanB (@100trillionUSD) October 7, 2025
Bitcoin Maintains Fifth Monthly Close Above $100K
PlanB shared a detailed chart analyzing Bitcoin’s price, Relative Strength Index (RSI), moving average, realized price, and Stock-to-Flow model. The chart, spanning from 2011 to 2026, highlights a consistent upward trend. Moreover, the chart contains key historical resistance levels like $10, $100, $1,000, and $10,000 transforming into support levels over time.
PlanB pointed out that September 2025 marked the fifth consecutive monthly close above $100,000, suggesting a potential shift where $100,000 could now act as a new support level. He says 63% people think BTC will fall below $100k but he doesn’t believe that. His analysis is underpinned by the S2F model, which predicts Bitcoin’s value based on its scarcity, with a projected average price of $500,000 during the 2024-2028 halving period.
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PlanB’s chart also incorporates the 200-week moving average and realized cost price, showing Bitcoin’s price overlay with RSI, which indicates market momentum. The colorful overlay suggests periods of overbought conditions (RSI above 70) and oversold conditions (RSI below 30), with the current trend leaning toward sustained bullish momentum as of October 2025.
Institutional Buzz and Skepticism Surround $100k Prediction
The broader cryptocurrency community is abuzz with this prediction, especially as institutional adoption grows. BlackRock’s recent moves and the $50 billion inflow into Bitcoin ETFs since their debut underscore a shift toward mainstream acceptance. However, critics like Peter Schiff have cautioned that the rally might be a temporary bear market surge, particularly when measured against gold’s historical highs.
As Bitcoin continues to capture global attention, PlanB’s latest forecast adds fuel to the debate about its future trajectory. Whether this support level holds will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike in the coming months.