US Stock Market Technical Analysis | January 13, 2023

U.S stock futures under bearish pressure after recession warning

U.S CPI numbers show further lower numbers which suggest inflation numbers will continue moving lower. However, the good news only lasts for a while as the market refocuses its attention on the possibility of recession this year. JP Morgan reported an EPS of $3.57 vs. the $3.07 estimate. Revenue comes out at $35.57 billion vs. the $34.3 billion estimate. Despite the strong performance, the bank also mentioned that recession now is a central case. At the current time, DJIA futures are lower by more than 250 points which suggests a pullback before the end of the week.

Technical Analysis

Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU)

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DJIA index continues moving upward as the U.S. CPI number shows a further drop in inflation. If the index could extend the bullish movement and print a new higher high then traders will expect the continuation of the bullish trend. However, if the index turns lower again and makes a close below the daily SMA 200 then the trend will turn bearish again.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)

TSM share prices break out above the daily SMA 200 which could signal a trend change. If the share prices could maintain a position above the averages then traders could expect a bullish continuation. A test on the daily SMA 200 will provide traders with the chance to enter more long positions. However, if a bearish breakout with strong momentum happens then the trend could switch again from bullish to bearish.

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